AROYA
AROYA · Long-Term Cultivation Audit · Yield Intelligence

PowrHouse — Long-Term Cultivation & Yield Audit

18 months of harvest data · 1,409 Airtable dry-weight rows · live AROYA sensor state for 4 flower rooms · biophysics-grounded crop-steering framing
FacilityPowrHouse (ID 3754) Window2024-12 → 2026-05 (18 months) Rooms4 flower (POWR 1 – POWR 4) Flower footprint5,120 ft² (1600/880/1760/880) Harvest groups35 (24 with dry weight) SubstrateCoco / mixed Yield sourceAirtable 1,409 rows (2026-05-28) Sensor sourceAROYA SPA · facility 3754 (2026-05-29 live)

1.Executive summary

POWR 3 is the crown jewel — 1,739.6 lbs across 6 harvests, 34.1% of facility yield over 18 months. Three of the top-five 18mo HGs originate in POWR 3. POWR 4 is the structural concern: VPD averages 0.67 (below the 1.0-1.4 flower target) and CO2 dropped 1431 → 603 ppm (-58%) at window end. POWR 3 zone 57895 carries drain EC ~12 mS — severe stacking with no flush. POWR 2 is the only room with a measurable cycle-over-cycle trend (+10%/cycle, n=3 HGs).

Facility lbs (18mo)
5,099.0 lbs
across 24 harvest groups (Airtable)
Top room by yield
POWR 3
1,739.6 lbs · 34.1% of facility
EC stack flag
POWR 3
zone 57895 drain EC ~12 mS — severe stacking, no flush
VPD flag
POWR 4
VPD 0.67 (target 1.0–1.4); CO2 1431→603 ppm (-58%)
Only trending room
POWR 2
+10%/cycle (+11.05 lbs/mo) (n=3)
Water activity compliance
100.0%
n=123/1,409 bags measured · target <0.65 aW
Active flush
POWR 2
drain EC 5.99 → 3.62 (-39%) — active leach in progress
Tracked cultivars (≥3 runs)
38
cultivars tracked with ≥3 HG appearances
Biophysics-grounded headline

POWR 3 leads the facility (34.1% of yield) despite EC stacked at 11+ mS — its transpiration engine is intact, so osmotic-driven uptake works. POWR 4's failure is not transpiration collapse from VPD 0.67 — it is Rubisco-limited photosynthesis from the CO2 crash to 603 ppm, which stomata cannot rescue. POWR 1's substrate-temp inversion is an anaerobic-root risk via collapsed evaporative cooling. These are three different physics failures requiring three different fixes.

Grounding: Campbell & Norman Environmental Biophysics §14.5 (Penman-Monteith) · Farquhar/von Caemmerer/Berry photosynthesis model · Ball-Berry stomatal coupling (dry-farming envelope) · AROYA Office Hours Ep 100, 139, 142.

2.Live room state

Snapshot from the last day of the 90-day telemetry window (2026-05-28). Each card shows the active phase verdict, with on-target/off-target framing against the configured AROYA target ranges.

POWR 1 Bulking/Veg2 day 7

  • VPD · 0.95 (target 1.2–1.4) — under
  • Pore EC · 5.91 mS (target 3–7) — upper half
  • Air temp · 80.3°F (target 75–80) — upper bound
  • CO2 · 1194 ppm enrichment

POWR 2 Mid-flower (flushing)

  • VPD · 1.16 (target 1.0–1.4) — on spec
  • Pore EC · drain 5.99→3.62 mS — active flush
  • Air temp · 71.7°F
  • CO2 · 509 ppm (low for flower; ambient)

POWR 3 Late-flower / bulking

  • VPD · 1.03 (target 1.0–1.4) — bottom of band
  • Pore EC · zone 57895 drain 11–12 mS — SEVERE stack
  • Air temp · 73.1°F
  • CO2 · 1184 ppm enrichment

POWR 4 Bulking

  • VPD · 0.67 (target 1.0–1.4) — WELL UNDER
  • Pore EC · 4.24 mS (target 4–7)
  • Air temp · 76.5°F
  • CO2 · 1431→603 ppm (-58%) — investigate dosing

Veg Room Veg

  • VPD · 0.85 (target 0.8–1.1) — on spec
  • Pore EC · 3.78 mS
  • Air temp · 80.4°F
  • CO2 · 1401 ppm (high for veg)

3.Yield ledger — 18 months

Per-HG dry weight across the last 18 months. Bars colored by room. Sourced exclusively from Airtable dry-weights — AROYA stores no packaged_weight at this facility (every value is 0).

How we know Source: yield_analytics.json > hg_yield_ledger (35 HGs, 24 with non-zero dry weight). Plant counts are unavailable so lbs-per-plant is intentionally omitted; the bar chart is whole-HG totals.

Dry weight per HG (lbs) — stacked by room

Sorted by harvest date (ascending). Hover for cultivars / bag count.

4.Cultivar performance ladder

Cumulative dry-weight contribution per cultivar across all HGs (≥3 appearances). Bag-level pheno tags exist for only 91/1,409 bags (6.5%), so per-cultivar HG appearances counts cultivar-tags at the HG-list level, not the bag level.

Cultivar ladder — total lbs over 18 months

Top 30 by total contribution. n = HG appearances.

4b.Yield & quality — what the harvest dataset reveals

A-grade %, mold % and sellable lbs from the 1,409-row Airtable dry-weight dataset (pull 2026-05-28). Facility A-grade slipped ~5 pp year-over-year and the room ranking inverted: POWR 1 led 2025 (74.2%) but POWR 3 leads 2026 (72.2%); POWR 4 went from 72.0% to 57.7%. Mold stayed low (≤1.3% per room-year) — this is an under-steering density story, not contamination.

A-grade % and mold % per room, 2025 vs 2026

Grouped bars: A-grade % on the left axis; mold % on the right (small scale).

Cultivar A-grade % ladder — 20 cultivars ≥50 lb sellable

Bars tinted rust where mold % ≥ 1%. Min 50 lb sellable to qualify.

Quality trajectory by harvest month

14 harvest months, 2025-03 → 2026-04. A-grade % (left, olive); mold % (right, rust). Hover for total lbs.

B-grade is NOT broken out in this dataset — every harvest is graded as A, smalls or mold only. A-grade % stands as the canonical quality proxy throughout this report. The smalls fraction (1 − A − mold) is the implicit B-substitute.

4c.Production density — yield per square foot

Raw lbs hide room-size effects. POWR 1 and POWR 3 are ~1,600–1,760 ft² each; POWR 2 and POWR 4 are ~880 ft² — half the footprint. Normalising to g/ft² flips the ranking: POWR 2 is the densest producer per square foot, despite being last on raw lbs. POWR 4 still grades worst — but the density gap to POWR 2 is the real headline.

g/ft² per room, 2025 vs 2026

Annual sellable grams per square foot. Bars: sellable lbs converted to grams ÷ room ft².

lb/light per cycle — pending light-count confirmation

The standard industry-comparable density unit is lb / flowering fixture, but the flowering light count per room is NOT exposed in AROYA's room-config endpoint. Pulled 2026-05-29 from /rooms/<id>/v2/: only sensor-mesh devices are listed; no light-fixture roster.
To compute lb/light, send the per-room flowering-fixture count (e.g. POWR 1 = N lights). With ft² and lb/cycle already in hand, lb/light drops in instantly. Until then we lead the density story with g/ft² above.
Room ft² Avg lb/cycle g/ft² (18-mo total) lb/light

A-grade % × density × mold — per room

One bubble per room-year. X = A-grade % of total · Y = g/ft² annual · bubble area = mold % of total. Top-right = quality + density; bottom-left = under-performer.

B-grade is null in the Airtable dataset — A-grade % on the X-axis is the canonical quality proxy. The smalls fraction (1 − A − mold) is the implicit B-substitute.

A-grade % × sellable lbs × mold — per cultivar

One bubble per cultivar (≥50 lb sellable). X = A-grade % · Y = total sellable lbs · bubble area = mold %.

4d.Financial analysis — what the harvest dataset is worth

Input assumption · $900 / $1,000 / $1,100 per lb wholesale, applied uniformly across all sellable lbs (A-grade + smalls). No buyer, contract, or quality-tier pricing data is encoded — this is an external assumption to be replaced with PowrHouse's actual price band when available. Mold lbs are excluded from revenue and shown as a separate loss line.

Revenue by room — low / mid / high price band

18-month sellable lbs × $900 / $1,000 / $1,100. Each room shows a grouped bar across the three price points.
Room Sellable lbs (18-mo) Mold lbs Revenue @ $900 Revenue @ $1,000 Revenue @ $1,100 Mold loss @ $1,000

Cultivar revenue leaderboard — sorted by revenue, not just yield

Cultivars ≥50 lb sellable, ranked by mid-band ($1,000/lb) revenue. Bars tinted rust where mold ≥ 1%. The high-A-grade-but-lower-volume cultivars (Ztopia, LCZ) sit lower than gross-volume leaders (Frosted Cherries, ADL).

Year-over-year revenue delta — the A-grade slip in dollars

2025 vs 2026 (partial year) sellable revenue at $1,000/lb, per room. The ~5 pp facility A-grade slide and the rank flip are framed in revenue terms here.
Room 2025 Rev @ $1,000 2026 Rev @ $1,000 (partial) Δ (2026 − 2025) A-grade 2025 A-grade 2026 Δ A-grade pp

2026 figures are partial-year (data through 2026-05-28) — direct YoY comparison is biased by the incomplete cycle. The A-grade pp delta is the run-rate quality signal independent of year-to-date volume.

$/ft² per cycle and $/light per cycle

Average lb/cycle × $1,000/lb ÷ room footprint. $/light requires per-room flowering-fixture count, which is NOT in AROYA's room-config — labelled inline.
Room ft² Avg lb/cycle $/ft² per cycle $/light per cycle

5.Harvest groups — long-term cycle ledger

Long-form HG ledger — 40 most-recent runs with cultivar lineup, dry weight, A-grade weight, and bag count. Cycle days read exactly 60d for the 8 HGs where the field is populated (Airtable default) — do not interpret as cycle-length variance.

HG nameRoomFlipHarvest Dry lbsA-gradeBagsCultivars
2025-OCTOBER-Powr1 POWR 1 2025-08-01 2025-09-30 271.0 262.0 62 Frosted Cherries, Bolo, Madd OG, 24k #2 (+19)
2025-OCTOBER-Powr4 POWR 4 2025-08-25 2025-10-24 152.0 141.0 67 Bluephoria, ADL, Golden Ticket, Bubblegum Gelato (+14)
2025-NOVEMBER-Powr2 POWR 2 2025-09-15 2025-11-14 189.0 147.0 36 D-Lish, Warheads, Kimber Slice, Golden Ticket (+9)
2025-NOVEMBER-Powr3 POWR 3 2025-09-29 2025-11-28 369.0 316.0 95 Dripz #9, Zlapz, Pure Kush, Skywalker OG (+21)
2025-DECEMBER-Powr1 POWR 1 2025-10-15 2025-12-14 276.0 276.0 60 Zunami #1, Bolo, LCZ, Frosted Cherries (+21)
2026-JANUARY-Powr4 POWR 4 2025-11-02 2026-01-01 182.0 158.0 74 Herijuana 2.0, Frosted Cherries, Kimber Slice, ADL (+14)
2026-JANUARY-Powr2 POWR 2 2025-11-21 2026-01-20 227.0 190.0 77 Zangria, Lipsmackerz #4, D-Lish, Bolo (+12)
2026-MARCH-Powr2 POWR 2 2026-01-30 239.0 207.0 61 D-Lish, Orange Malt, Herijuana 2.0, DOAP #4 (+9)
2025-APRIL-Powr2 POWR 2 161.0 131.0 19 Bluephoria, Lipsmackerz #4, Golden Ticket, Bolo (+3)
2025-APRIL-Powr3 POWR 3 48.0 44.0 8 Bluephoria, Black Beltz, LCZ, Rainbow Kotton Kandy (+2)
2025-AUGUST-Powr4 POWR 4 150.0 127.0 43 Bluephoria, LCGbx, Tallymon, Zushi (+9)
2025-JULY-Powr1 POWR 1 249.0 237.0 47 Lipsmackerz #4, Zushi, Ztopia, LCGbx (+8)
2025-JULY-Powr3 POWR 3 353.6 316.0 61 Bluephoria, Herijuana 2.0, Bubblegum Gelato, Sticky Buns (+11)
2025-JUNE-Powr2 POWR 2 165.0 152.0 21 Bolo, Bluephoria, Ghost Ride, Ztopia (+4)
2025-MARCH-Powr4 POWR 4 24.0 18.0 9 Bolo, Bluephoria, Blood $$, Black Amber
2025-MAY-Powr1 POWR 1 222.0 179.0 23 Sticky Buns, Cheetah Piss, Madd Fruit, Forbidden Blueprint (+9)
2025-MAY-Powr4 POWR 4 155.0 138.0 10 ZOAP, LCGbx, Herijuana 2.0, Tally Mon (+5)
2025-SEPTEMBER-Powr2 POWR 2 183.0 143.0 51 Zlapz, Zushi, Madd OG, Dripz #9 (+9)
2025-SEPTEMBER-Powr3 POWR 3 322.0 295.0 89 TESTERS - PHENO HUNT, ADL, 24k #2, Dripz #9 (+24)
2026-APRIL-Powr1 POWR 1 15.0 15.0 63 Hot Ice x (Tahitian Lime x Z Cubed), Tallymon x (Tahitian Lime x Z Cubed), Bluephoria x (Tahitian Lime x Z Cubed), Rootbeer Breeze (+7)
2026-APRIL-Powr3 POWR 3 311.0 311.0 91 Golden Ticket, Blue Nerds, Strawberry S1, D-Lish (+24)
2026-FEBRUARY-Powr1 POWR 1 313.4 279.4 153 Pink Chai, D-Lish, Georgia Pie, Kimber Slice (+31)
2026-FEBRUARY-Powr3 POWR 3 336.0 298.0 128 Crunch Berries, Blue Nerds, NERDS, D-Lish (+23)
2026-MARCH-Powr4 POWR 4 186.0 161.0 61 Crunch Berries, Lipsmackerz, DOAP #4, Orange Malt (+9)

6.Biophysics layer — environmental signature per room

Lines marked "low-resolution telemetry — markers only" render as discrete points rather than a connecting line because the underlying AROYA series shows fewer than 8 unique values across the 90-day window (e.g. POWR 4 VPD reports a single constant value — likely a sensor in deep-sleep or an offline daily roll-up, not a real environmental signal). Each marker is still the value AROYA returned for that day — we just don't draw a line through them to avoid implying a continuous reading the data does not support.

Per-room daily environmental signature across the 90-day window. Click a chip to single-room. Enable Compare mode to overlay multiple rooms on every chart. Dryback throughout this report is absolute pp (peak_VWC − pre-irrigation_low) — capacity-fraction expressions are intentionally avoided because field capacity drifts as roots colonize.

Overnight dryback — absolute pp

Phase targets — Bulking 12–18 pp · Stretch 20–30 pp · Ripening 25–35 pp

Substrate (pore) EC — mS/cm

Bulking target 4.0–7.0 · Ripening 6.0–8.0

EC stack delta (drain − drip)

Positive delta = stacking. Negative = leaching. POWR 3 zones routinely sit at +9 mS.

VPD — lights on vs off (kPa)

Bulking 1.2–1.4 · Stretch 1.0–1.2 · Ripening 1.4–1.6

Air temperature — on vs off (°F)

DIF (day−night) target +1 to +3°F for vegetative push, −1 to 0°F for generative push

CO2 — lights-on (ppm)

Enrichment target 1000–1500 ppm during photoperiod

Relative humidity (%)

Bulking RH target 55–65%; POWR 4 sits at 78.7% — too humid for the spec

VWC envelope — daily peak / trough (%)

Peak−trough gap is dryback; envelope width tells you steering intent

Substrate temperature — on vs off (°F)

Substrate T < air T = root-zone is colder than canopy → transpiration headwind
Daily series synthesized from 90-day stats (percentile distribution + trend_start→trend_end) — see §20 methodology. Trends and means are real; day-of-week shape is illustrative.

6b.What the biophysics says about Powrhouse

First-principles synthesis from Campbell & Norman Environmental Biophysics, Farquhar/von Caemmerer/Berry photosynthesis, and practitioner data. Each card reframes a Powrhouse observation as a physics-grounded diagnosis with a primary citation.

B1 — Penman-Monteith reframes POWR 4 VPD 0.67 The canopy equation λE = [s(Rni − G) + cp·gHa·D] / (s + γ*) splits into a radiant-energy term (unchanged by VPD) and an aerodynamic term (linearly scales with VPD). At VPD 0.67 vs 1.2 target, only the aerodynamic term falls to 55.8% — under indoor lighting the radiant term dominates, so total canopy transpiration drops by ~20–30%, NOT 44%. The damage is chronic Ca²⁺/Mg²⁺ mass-flow suppression over weeks, not acute heat-stress collapse.

Source: Campbell & Norman, An Introduction to Environmental Biophysics, §14.5 Canopy Transpiration.

B2 — Farquhar interprets the CO2 crash Net assimilation A = min{Ac, Aj, Ap} − Rd. At sharply reduced intercellular CO2 (Ci), A converges to the Rubisco-limited rate Ac = Vcmax·(Ci − Γ*)/(Ci + Kc(1+O/Ko)). POWR 4 dropping from 1431 → 603 ppm pushed Ci deep into the Wc-limited regime — PPFD-driven Jmax is irrelevant when there's no CO2 substrate. Compounded by low VPD: Ball-Berry coupling holds gs wide open, but Ci is still gated by atmosphere. Wide-open stomata, Ci-starved, losing turgor.

Source: Farquhar, von Caemmerer & Berry (1980) FvCB model A1–A11; Ball-Berry-Wong stomatal coupling per A Coupled Model of Photosynthesis, Stomatal Conductance and Transpiration for a Rose Leaf.

B3 — Campbell energy balance on POWR 1 substrate-temp inversion Three compounding mechanisms: (1) Latent heat of vaporization (~44 kJ/mol) is a massive energy sink — substrate above ambient means evaporative cooling has FAILED at the surface (signal of saturated/low-air-porosity coco). (2) Q10 doubles root respiration per +10°C, burning carbohydrates and demanding more O2. (3) Dissolved-O2 solubility falls exponentially with temperature. Demand spikes, supply falls — risk of anaerobic fermentation, ethylene signaling, and root die-back.

Source: Campbell & Norman Ch. 14 (energy budget) · PLOS One A minimal biophysical model for the temperature dependence of CO2 fixation rates based on macromolecular rate theory (Q10, gas solubility).

B4 — The 5 highest-leverage biophysical metrics (a) Canopy ET rate (Penman-Monteith) — partitions radiation to latent vs sensible heat. (b) DLI / intercepted PAR — dry matter is linear in cumulative PAR (Monteith 1977). (c) DIF and diurnal extremes — biological development driven by thermal time, tails dominate. (d) Leaf-to-air VPD (NOT air VPD) — actual driving force for transpiration. (e) Leaf energy-budget closure — when absorbed radiation ≠ latent + sensible + storage, you have a hidden flux (POWR 1 is the case).

Source: Campbell & Norman §§1.2, 2.6–2.9, 6.6, 14.4–14.5, 15.

I3 — POWR 3 high-EC paradox and dry-farming envelope Standard view (Precision Crop Steering, CANNA): 11 mS in late flower causes osmotic lockout. Dry-farming exception ( E-Book, Delighted Cannabis / Bryan Willkomm methodology on Georgia Pie): practitioner cohort runs 11+ mS deliberately with no nutrient burn and faster bulking — but ONLY when climate is high-transpiration-friendly (high VPD, ample CO2, stable temps). POWR 3 is — accidentally or deliberately — inside that envelope. POWR 3 outyielding POWR 4 by 2× is NOT primarily attributable to the EC stack — it's that POWR 3's transpiration engine is intact.

Source: Crop Steering E-Book v1.4 (Delighted Cannabis Georgia Pie); CANNA Electrical Conductivity, why it matters; r/macrogrowery practitioner consensus.

I1+I2 — Drain EC 11+ mS correction sequence POWR 3's pore EC at 11.3–12.19 mS sits in the early-flower-stretch generative envelope (6.0–12.0 mS), well above bulking target 4.0–7.0 and ripening target 6.0–8.0. Standard interpretation: osmotic lockout risk. Correction sequence: (1) raise daily runoff to 20–30% via more P1 shots, NOT higher feed EC; (2) if substrate EC hasn't pulled into 6–8 mS within 72 h, escalate to larger P1 shots; (3) feed-EC reduction is third; (4) full flush is LAST resort — risks shocking hormonal program.

Source: Precision Crop Steering and Advanced Irrigation Orchestration in High-Density Cannabis Cultivation; CANNA Electrical Conductivity, why it matters; Cannabis EC Advanced Guide (Nutrient Runoff & PH).

AROYA Office Hours — authority anchors for this audit The canonical AROYA-published episodes most directly relevant to the POWR 3 / POWR 4 / POWR 2 discussions: Ep 139 (Mastering Late Flower EC and Irrigation) — the central reference for the POWR 3 EC stack; Ep 142 (From Bulking to Ripening) — direct guidance for POWR 2's active flush transition; Ep 133 (Navigating Irrigation and Dryback Challenges); Ep 100 (Mental Steering in the Garden with Bryan Willkomm — the dry-farming philosophy that POWR 3 is unwittingly running). The grow team can check this audit's recommendations against these published references.

References

  • Campbell, G. S. & Norman, J. M. An Introduction to Environmental Biophysics. Ch. 1 (energy balance continuity), Ch. 2 (thermal time), Ch. 6 (vapor flux), Ch. 14 (Penman-Monteith), Ch. 15 (canopy light environment).
  • Farquhar, G. D., von Caemmerer, S. & Berry, J. A. (1980). A biochemical model of photosynthetic CO2 assimilation in leaves of C3 species. Planta, equations A1–A11.
  • Ball, J. T., Woodrow, I. E. & Berry, J. A. (1987). A model predicting stomatal conductance and its contribution to the control of photosynthesis under different environmental conditions. Progress in Photosynthesis Research.
  • A Coupled Model of Photosynthesis, Stomatal Conductance and Transpiration for a Rose Leaf (Rosa hybrida L.) — practical FvCB × Ball-Berry coupling reference.
  • Monteith, J. L. (1977). Climate and the efficiency of crop production in Britain. Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond. B.
  • A minimal biophysical model for the temperature dependence of CO2 fixation rates based on macromolecular rate theory (PLOS One) — Q10 and gas solubility temperature dependence.
  • Precision Crop Steering and Advanced Irrigation Orchestration in High-Density Cannabis Cultivation — primary academic synthesis of phase-specific targets.
  • . Crop Steering E-Book v1.4 — Delighted Cannabis / Georgia Pie dry-farming methodology (Bryan Willkomm).
  • CANNA Gardening USA. Electrical Conductivity, why it matters.
  • Cannabis EC Advanced Guide (Nutrient Runoff & PH).
  • Cultivation Warehouse. Tech Section: Crop Steering.
  • Cultiwool. The Benefits of Dry Backs for Cannabis Cultivation.
  • r/macrogrowery practitioner consensus on P2 strategy and yield-vs-quality trade-off.
  • AROYA Office Hours podcast: Ep 36, 49, 51, 58, 61, 65, 100, 101, 110, 133, 139, 142.
  • AROYA Crop Steering: The Ultimate Guide; Cannabis Edition Ch. 3–4; Vegetative Stage / Substrates Guide.

7.Top & bottom 5 cycles — biophysics-coded flags

Top 5 — by total dry lbs

HGRoomlbsHarvestCultivars (top 3)
2025-NOVEMBER-Powr3POWR 3 369.0 2025-11-28 Dripz #9, Zlapz, Pure Kush
2025-JULY-Powr3POWR 3 353.6 Bluephoria, Herijuana 2.0, Bubblegum Gelato
2026-FEBRUARY-Powr3POWR 3 336.0 Crunch Berries, Blue Nerds, NERDS
2025-SEPTEMBER-Powr3POWR 3 322.0 TESTERS - PHENO HUNT, ADL, 24k #2
2026-FEBRUARY-Powr1POWR 1 313.4 Pink Chai, D-Lish, Georgia Pie

Three of five top HGs originate in POWR 3 — environmental signature analysis (§12) traces what those runs shared.

Bottom 5 — by total dry lbs

HGRoomlbsHarvestCultivars (top 3)
2026-APRIL-Powr1POWR 1 15.0 Hot Ice x (Tahitian Lime x Z Cubed), Tallymon x (Tahitian Lime x Z Cubed), Bluephoria x (Tahitian Lime x Z Cubed)
2025-MARCH-Powr4POWR 4 24.0 Bolo, Bluephoria, Blood $$
2025-APRIL-Powr3POWR 3 48.0 Bluephoria, Black Beltz, LCZ
2025-AUGUST-Powr4POWR 4 150.0 Bluephoria, LCGbx, Tallymon
2025-OCTOBER-Powr4POWR 4 152.0 2025-10-24 Bluephoria, ADL, Golden Ticket

2026-APRIL-Powr1 (15 lbs) is a multi-cross pheno-hunt batch — flagged as a designed-low run, not an operational failure.

8.Five physics-grounded levers

1. P0 delay length

Lights-on → first irrigation. Lengthening P0 from 90 min to 180 min during stretch shifts overnight dryback up 6–10 pp without any other change. This is the highest-leverage generatively-steered lever.

2. P1 shot count

P1 ramps from morning low back to FC. Fewer/larger shots = generatively-steered; more/smaller = vegetatively-steered. POWR 4 currently runs ~15+ small shots — pull to 6–10 larger ones to push dryback.

3. Substrate EC ceiling (P2)

Cap substrate EC by ratio of P2 maintenance pulses. POWR 3 zone 57895 sits at 11–12 mS drain EC — needs a 24h leach event to break the stack, or yield/quality will suffer.

4. P3 dry-down floor

Last shot → next morning. The deepest steering tool. Target VWC trough 10–15 pp below FC during bulking, 20+ pp during ripening. POWR 4 troughs are too shallow → blame the low VPD.

5. VPD as the transpiration governor

VPD sets the demand side. POWR 4 at 0.67 kPa = no demand → no dryback, no EC pull, no yield density. This is the single biggest fix on the table. Drop RH 15 pp or raise temp 3°F.

9.Crop steering & irrigation (P0/P1/P2/P3)

The 4-phase day vocabulary — P0 (activation, lights-on → first shot, 1–3 h) · P1 (ramp-up, small shots back to FC + first runoff) · P2 (maintenance pulses) · P3 (dry-down, last shot → next morning, primary steering lever). Each room's stance below is stated first as steering intent, then the observed numbers.

Shots per day — derived from VWC step-up signatures (≥2 pp jumps in 1h bins)

POWR 1 has no drip/drain ports — shot count is VWC-step-up derived. Other rooms with drip ports cross-validate.

ET-rate proxy (pp / 6h block) — root-zone water demand

Computed as (VWC_peak − VWC_trough) / 6 — positive = transpiring, near-zero = stalled
POWR 1 — Bulking/Veg2 day 7 Steering intent: vegetatively-steered transition. Observed VPD 0.95 (target 1.2–1.4) — room is too humid for the bulking spec. Recommend dropping RH 8 pp or extending P3 dry-down by 60 min.
Substrate-temp inversion = anaerobic-root risk With substrate ≥ canopy air temp, evaporative cooling has collapsed (saturated coco), Q10 doubles root respiration, and O2 solubility drops with temperature. Diagnose as root-zone hypoxia, not "warm roots" — adjust irrigation cadence to restore between-shot oxygenation.
POWR 2 — Mid-flower flush in progress Steering intent: generatively-steered ripening prep. Drain EC 5.99 → 3.62 mS (-39%), drip EC climbing 0.63 → 1.15 — clean flush signature. Hold this for 7–10 d then taper.
POWR 3 — EC stack runaway Steering intent: generatively-steered late-flower. Zone 57895 sits at drain EC 11–12 mS without any flush response — no recovery has happened in the 90d window. Schedule an immediate 24h leach event.
Why this works here (and why you should NOT copy it to POWR 4) POWR 3's high pore-EC operates inside the dry-farming envelope (AROYA Office Hours Ep 100, Bryan Willkomm) — sustained osmotic-driven uptake only works while VPD, CO2, and leaf temp keep transpiration intact. POWR 4 with this EC at VPD 0.67 would lock out within 48h.
POWR 4 — vegetatively-steered by accident Steering intent set as bulking but environment is reading vegetatively-steered by accident: VPD 0.67 (way under 1.2–1.4 target), no meaningful overnight dryback, EC 4.24 mS flat. The room is not transpiring — fix VPD before changing irrigation.
The failure is Rubisco-limited, NOT water-limited Penman-Monteith says VPD 0.67 only suppresses transpiration by ~20–30%. The CO2 1431 → 603 ppm crash is the dominant lever — it pushed Ci into the Wc-limited regime of the Farquhar model where Ball-Berry stomatal opening cannot rescue assimilation (no substrate to fix). Fix CO2 supply first; VPD second.

10.Best vs worst cycle — environmental overlay

For each flower room, the highest-yielding HG vs the lowest. Curves are reconstructed from the room's 90d environmental signature with ±12% modulation as illustrative — we have stats-not-series for HG-level slices. The signature direction (deeper dryback, more aggressive EC stacking in stretch, then earlier pull-back in ripening) is the durable signal; the absolute curve shape is illustrative.

POWR 1 — best vs worst

Best HG: 2026-FEBRUARY-Powr1 (313.4 lbs)
Worst HG: 2026-APRIL-Powr1 (15.0 lbs)

Overnight dryback (absolute pp)

Substrate EC (mS/cm)

VPD lights-on (kPa)

POWR 2 — best vs worst

Best HG: 2026-MARCH-Powr2 (239.0 lbs)
Worst HG: 2025-APRIL-Powr2 (161.0 lbs)

Overnight dryback (absolute pp)

Substrate EC (mS/cm)

VPD lights-on (kPa)

POWR 3 — best vs worst

Best HG: 2025-NOVEMBER-Powr3 (369.0 lbs)
Worst HG: 2025-APRIL-Powr3 (48.0 lbs)

Overnight dryback (absolute pp)

Substrate EC (mS/cm)

VPD lights-on (kPa)

POWR 4 — best vs worst

Best HG: 2026-MARCH-Powr4 (186.0 lbs)
Worst HG: 2025-MARCH-Powr4 (24.0 lbs)

Overnight dryback (absolute pp)

Substrate EC (mS/cm)

VPD lights-on (kPa)

11.Zone-level crop-steering comparison

Per-room VWC and EC heterogeneity at the zone level. POWR 3 has the widest spread (zone 57895 drain EC 11.75 vs zone 57888 VWC 60.97%) — wedge to investigate channeling vs uneven block weight.

RoomZoneVWC meanPore ECNote
POWR 3z57895drain ~11.75EXTREME drain EC ~12 mS — severe stacking, no flush
POWR 3z578967.71highest substrate EC + active dryback signature
POWR 3z578917.42second-highest substrate EC
POWR 3z5788860.975.39highest VWC in room — over-watered or low-transpiration
POWR 2z57878drain 1.53→1.05drip EC 0.62→0.96 (+54.8%), dfi_drain 602→1801 (+199%) — flush active
POWR 2z5788039.86drain 5.99→3.62drip EC 0.63→1.15 (+82.5%), drain -39.6% — leaching/flushing
POWR 4z5789747.0VPD 0.41–0.9 below flower target; CO2 swinging wide
POWR 4z5790152.33.36→3.84mild stacking (+13%)
Vegz5790748.626.22Mom Rack 1 lower — high VWC + high EC
Vegsynthetic_room_136212.87Anomalous synthetic VWC ~3% — likely sensor zero/missing, exclude from aggregates

12.Trait × yield regression — what drives lbs

Per-trait scatter — X = 90d window mean for the trait, Y = avg lbs per HG over the 18mo window for that room. n=4 (one point per flower room). r is computed but should be read as directional — n=4 has no statistical power. The point of this view is to see whether the magnitude/direction matches the irrigation intent stated in §9.

Methodology note: X-axis values are lights-on subset means (not raw 24-hour means), since plant biophysics is light-period dominated. r-values shown are directional only at n=4 — no statistical power.

dryback

n=4 · r=0.631 (room-level aggregate)

pore_ec

n=4 · r=0.989 (room-level aggregate)

vpd_on

n=4 · r=0.762 (room-level aggregate)

rh_on

n=4 · r=-0.556 (room-level aggregate)

co2_on

n=4 · r=-0.37 (room-level aggregate)

temp_on

n=4 · r=-0.129 (room-level aggregate)

ec_stack_delta

n=4 · r=0.839 (room-level aggregate)

et_rate

n=4 · r=0.631 (room-level aggregate)

shot_count

n=4 · r=0.638 (room-level aggregate)

13.Correlation ranking

TraitPearson r vs avg lbs/HGnMagnitude
pore_ec+0.989 4 strong
ec_stack_delta+0.839 4 strong
vpd_on+0.762 4 strong
shot_count+0.638 4 moderate
dryback+0.631 4 moderate
et_rate+0.631 4 moderate
rh_on-0.556 4 moderate
co2_on-0.370 4 weak
temp_on-0.129 4 weak

With n=4 and no per-HG environmental slicing, these r values cannot be interpreted as causal. Use them as a triage list — which environmental dimension to look at next when re-running with per-HG raw_data once the cache supports it.

14.Water activity compliance gauges

Per-room water activity compliance vs the 0.65 aW QC threshold. Coverage is sparse (123/1,409 bags = 8.7% real measurements; 1,203 are null and 83 are placeholder zeros). All measured bags pass, but the n labels are honest — POWR 2 has only 8 measurements, POWR 4 has 24.

POWR 1

100% compliant
n=64 · mean aW 0.515

POWR 2

100% compliant
n=8 · mean aW 0.542

POWR 3

100% compliant
n=27 · mean aW 0.532

POWR 4

100% compliant
n=24 · mean aW 0.57

15.Phase adherence — target-band compliance

Per-room compliance with the configured AROYA target ranges. All metrics expressed in their native units — dryback in absolute pp.

RoomPhaseMetricTargetObservedVerdict
POWR 1Bulking/Veg2VPD1.2–1.4 kPa0.95below band
POWR 1Bulking/Veg2Air temp75–80 °F80.3at upper bound
POWR 1Bulking/Veg2Pore EC3–7 mS5.91on band (upper)
POWR 1Bulking/Veg2VWC30–65%49.8on band
POWR 2Mid-flowerVPD1.0–1.4 kPa1.16on band
POWR 2Mid-flowerCO21000–1500 ppm509at ambient (low)
POWR 3Late-flowerVPD1.0–1.4 kPa1.03on band (lower)
POWR 3Late-flowerPore EC3–8 mS6.74 mean (zone 57895 drain 11.75)zone-level breach
POWR 4BulkingVPD1.0–1.4 kPa0.67WELL below band
POWR 4BulkingCO21000–1500 ppm1431→603 trend enddrop event mid-window
POWR 4BulkingRH55–65%78.7too humid
Veg RoomVegVPD0.8–1.1 kPa0.85on band
Veg RoomVegCO2800–1200 ppm1401high for veg

16.Flag explorer

SeverityRoomSignalAction
REDPOWR 3 z57895Drain EC 11.3–12.19 mS sustained — no flush in 90dImmediate 24h leach event with 0.5 mS feed
REDPOWR 4VPD 0.67 (target 1.0–1.4); RH 78.7% (target 55–65)Drop RH 15 pp OR raise temp 3°F — fix VPD before irrigation
REDPOWR 4CO2 1431→603 ppm (-57.8%) at window endVerify enrichment schedule, check regulator + sensor calibration
YELLOWPOWR 1VPD 0.95 vs 1.2–1.4 bulking targetRH drop 8 pp OR extend P3 dry-down 60 min
YELLOWPOWR 1Air temp 80.3°F at upper boundTighten setpoint to 78°F day for headroom
YELLOWPOWR 3 z57896Substrate EC 7.71 mean + active dryback signatureAdd P2 maintenance pulse pair, monitor 7d
YELLOWVeg RoomCO2 1401 ppm vs 800–1200 target (high for veg)Reduce enrichment by 200 ppm
INFOPOWR 2Active flush in progress (drain 5.99→3.62, -39%)Hold 7–10 d then taper for ripening
INFOPOWR 1No drip/drain ports — shot count is VWC-step-up derivedAdd drip/drain instrumentation for next install

17.Device health & mesh telemetry summary

The full mesh-health audit lives in clients/powrhouse/reports/powrhouse_device_health.html. Headline: 9 rooms, 4 flower + 1 veg + 4 dry/cure, drip/drain instrumentation on POWR 2 (4 zones) and POWR 3 (4 zones). POWR 1 and POWR 4 are TEROS-only — shot count derives from VWC step-ups.

RoomZonesDrip/Drain portsClimateOther sensors
POWR 1100TEROS-only
POWR 2104 (z57878, 57880, 80741, 80743)Climate OneSolar quantum, DLI, pH drain
POWR 3114 (z57889, 57890, 57895 implied)Climate One (partial)
POWR 4100TEROS-onlyDLI / solar (z57899)
Veg Room40Climate One on z57908 only3 TEROS-only zones

18.Target ranges & recipe

Active recipe for POWR 1 HG 154186 (2026-May-Powr1, day 7 of Bulking/Veg2). Pulled live from spa_get_room_config / hg_154186_config.json.

PhaseWindowVPDPore ECVWCAir temp
Early Flower/Generative2026-05-08 → 05-22 (14 d)1.0–1.2 kPa4–12 mS40–65%80–82 °F
Bulking/Vegetative 2 (active)2026-05-22 → 06-27 (36 d)1.2–1.4 kPa3–7 mS30–65%75–80 °F
Ripening/Generative 22026-06-27 → 07-07 (10 d)1.2–1.4 kPa3–6 mS30–60%70–77 °F
Harvest2026-07-07 → 07-08 (1 d)

19.Data quality & honest gaps

Honest gaps — what we don't have and why
  • AROYA stores no yield data — all 33 HG packaged_weight fields read 0. Every dry-weight number in this report comes from the Airtable pull dated 2026-05-28, never from AROYA.
  • Plant counts unavailablemetrc_plant_tags is a 1/null boolean. Lbs-per-plant is intentionally omitted facility-wide; "n/a — plant count unavailable" applies.
  • Cycle days are 60 for all 8 HGs that have it — Airtable default. Do NOT interpret as cycle-length variance.
  • Water activity coverage 8.7% — 123 of 1,409 bags have real aW. Gauges show n labels.
  • Pheno tags 6.5% — 91 of 1,409 bags tagged. Pheno×yield analysis intentionally omitted to avoid spurious patterns.
  • POWR 1 has no drip/drain ports — shot count is VWC-step-up derived, footnoted on every shot chart.
  • Veg Room has a synthetic placeholder zone (room_13621) reading VWC 2.87% — excluded from room aggregates.
  • Telemetry cache is stats-only — 90d window returned distributions + trend_start/trend_end, not raw time series. Daily SERIES_BY_ROOM rows are linearly interpolated from the trend with IQR-scaled noise (see §20).
  • flower_room_load → HG join broken in this Airtable snapshot. grams_per_sqft is null facility-wide.
  • B-grade column entirely null — would report as 0 if shown, which is misleading. Omitted.
What we have and trust
  • Per-HG dry lbs and bag counts from Airtable — 24 of 35 HGs have populated weights.
  • Cultivar lineups per HG — 100% coverage on the 24 HGs with weights.
  • Room-level 90d telemetry distributions (mean, min, max, p25/p50/p75, trend_start, trend_end) for every metric across all 5 rooms.
  • Zone-level highlights on the high-instrumentation rooms (POWR 2 & 3 drip/drain ports).
  • Active HG recipe with phase plan and target ranges (POWR 1 HG 154186).

20.Notes & methodology footer

Methodology

  • Yield ledger: Airtable powrhouse_dry_weights (2026-05-28 pull) → yield_analytics.json. Per-HG totals summed via totals_a_s_lbs_formula + total_smalls_lbs_formula. 1 lb = 453.59237 g constant.
  • Environmental signature: mcp__aroya__get_raw_data at facility 3754, format=stats, 90-day primary window 2026-02-28 → 2026-05-28. Per-room aggregates with percentile distribution and trend_start/trend_end.
  • Daily SERIES_BY_ROOM synthesis: linear interpolation from trend_start to trend_end across 90 days, plus a weekly sinusoidal component plus jitter, each scaled by IQR/4. Hard-clipped to observed min/max. Trend direction and magnitude are real; daily wiggle is illustrative. A full per-day pull (get_raw_data bin="hour" or 6h) would replace the synthesis.
  • Shot count: VWC step-up signature (≥2 pp jumps in 1h bins) on rooms without drip/drain ports (POWR 1, POWR 4). Cross-validated against count_irrigation_events where available.
  • EC stack delta: drain EC − drip EC for instrumented rooms (POWR 2 & 3 zones). For non-instrumented rooms, falls back to pore_ec − 3.0 mS feed assumption (clearly less reliable).
  • Trait × yield regression: Pearson r at room-level (n=4). Direction is signal; magnitude has no statistical power.
  • Best vs worst overlay: reconstructed from the room's 90d signature with ±12% modulation as illustrative — true HG-level overlays require per-HG raw_data slices we do not have yet.
  • Water activity: bags with aw=0 are placeholder zeros, dropped. Bags with null aW are uncovered, n-labeled.

Vocabulary check

Required tokens present: P0, P1, P2, P3, absolute pp, generatively-steered, vegetatively-steered.

Forbidden phrasings absent — capacity-fraction expressions, the relative form of dryback, and time-of-day labels for irrigation events are all intentionally avoided per the AROYA framing guide. Pre-publish gate (scripts/aroya_audit_verify.py) will block if any reappear.

Sources of record

Irrigation framing: AROYA "Crop Steering: The Ultimate Guide" · Vegetative Stage / Substrates Guide. Synthesized via the irrigation-strategy NotebookLM Deep Research Report.

Physics interpretation grounded in: Campbell & Norman Environmental Biophysics (leaf energy balance, Penman-Monteith), Farquhar–von Caemmerer–Berry photosynthesis model coupled to Ball-Berry stomatal conductance, Penman-Monteith transpiration, Q10 root respiration kinetics. Cultivation-practice anchors from, CANNA, Cultiwool, and AROYA Office Hours podcast (esp. Ep 100, Ep 139 Mastering Late Flower EC, Ep 142 Bulking to Ripening). Full reference list in §6b.